The good news: After a dreary weekend, the sun is returning to the Cape Fear area.
The less good news: Fall doesn’t appear to be any closer, as temperatures will likely rise in the upper 80s.
As a low offshore low heads out to sea, the sun returns to North Carolina, causing another week of temperatures 10 to 12 degrees above average for mid-October. At the end of the work week, the Cape Fear area will be unusually hot for the season. Some places in Piedmont and the Foothills could be close to record conditions.
Here’s the setup: Low pressure remains stubbornly persistent off the coast of Carolina. This is one of the reasons that the past weekend has been so dark, with strong northeast winds. The two will linger on Monday, but not as strong in Fayetteville. Look for highs today in the upper 70s, close to where we should be at this time of year.
As the low reluctantly eases to the northeast, the high pressure returns to the region. Sunshine and above normal temperatures, with a light northerly wind on Tuesday and Wednesday. Chances of rain drop to zero although dew points remain high for this time of year, in the mid-1960s.
Look for high temperatures in Fayetteville to rise a few degrees each day. We’ll see low 80s on Tuesday, around 85 midweek, and then upper 80s on Thursday and Friday. The lowest will be maintained in the mid-1960s.
Later: After a great week of outdoor activities, chances of rain return on Saturday. An approaching front should trigger scattered showers on Saturday afternoon or evening, depending on the timing. It won’t be a wash, but check the weekend event schedule. The sun returns on Sunday with peaks falling in the 1970s.
This should bring us a few days of fall weather, but the overall trend seems to hold for the next 7-10 days. We will return to above average temperatures, with generally dry conditions.
In the tropics: A few potentially troublesome systems are trying to develop in the western Atlantic, but conditions are generally unfavorable at this time. We will be monitoring one system in particular, about 350 miles east of the West Indies. However, the development of the shear should prevent this system from becoming more than a rainmaker in the islands.
Have a good week!
A weather question? Chick Jacobs can be reached at [email protected] or NCWeatherhound on Twitter.